It seems that the fundamental floor of the dollar rate is 26,900 tomans. In other words, in the short term, no matter how much the dollar rate decreases, when it approaches this number, it will face a very heavy resistance. The fundamental floor of the dollar rate is accompanied by margins. Some believe the dollar will rise. Some consider the dollar to be twice its intrinsic value.
In the current situation, our economy has re-entered the period of stagflation. Economic factors and variables either change so much that they are unpredictable or are so ambiguous that they cannot be the basis for decision making. When we look at Mr. Reisi's promises and look at the current state of the country's economy, the possible paths of the country's economy in Mr. Reisi's government can be scenarioized. The common denominator of all these scenarios is "inflation".
Automotive policymaker in the twelfth government, considering the 12 percent share of 1400 production for private automakers, referred to this sector as the third pole and monopoly in the country's automobile industry. They take. Unfortunately, the loss of this inefficient production must be paid by the purifier. These days, the car market is floating on the political and economic issues of the country and is facing many ups and downs. Although the car market seems to have weathered the heat of the summer of 1400 these days, it is still a long way from the declining phase of late last year.
In recent days, we have witnessed the issue of dirham remittances at a higher rate for Iranians. This shifted its overhead costs to the open market. Currently, the excuse that exists in the dollar market and keeps the dollar price up is the growth of gold prices in the world market. This issue has no scientific and logical aspect at all. On the other hand, some speculators in this market have used the situation in Afghanistan as an excuse
One of the most important wheels connected to the housing plan and the big wheel of the country's development area; The country's steel market. The jump in housing production does not pass except through the adjustment of the steel market. That the plan be followed up by the parliament and approved by the Guardian Council; What effects will it have on the country's steel market; Apparently, this is a topic that I think should be addressed later. For example, issues such as increasing domestic demand for rebar and steel or issues such as the approach of the government of Ayatollah Ra'isi in the housing project and its reaction to the current situation of steel prices in the country regarding the cost of housing are key issues. are.
The exchange rate in recent days was accompanied by a price peak at the level of 28 thousand tomans. It seems that the exchange rate has the ability to increase prices to higher levels. If the government starts working late, we will definitely experience a price of 30,000 Tomans. This week, although the exchange rate moved to 30,000 Tomans once or twice, and even after a long time, the resistance of 28,000 Tomans was broken, but the currency chart backed up again and returned below 28,000 Tomans. In the following, we will examine the exchange rate. Please be with Artan Press.
The path of diplomacy in the thirteenth government seems to continue. Possible Vienna talks may resume under the new government. The president has announced his readiness in this regard, and the Europeans have also welcomed this issue.
The outcome of recent political events and currents has led to a change in currency expectations. So that since yesterday, the free market dollar rate in backline transactions has decreased by 1.5 percent and has reached less than 25,300 tomans. It remains to be seen how long the dollar will continue to decline and what other markets, including the stock market, will react to tomorrow.
Following the controversy between the Commodity Index and the Dollar Index, and now the $ 40 gold drop and the loss of the previous $ 1,800 support floor and the current stop at $ 1760 support, many gold traders and investors have expressed concern about this market and global gold trades. They are worried.
The total index of Tehran Stock Exchange with a growth of 1.3 percent on Tuesday showed that it is ready for further growth in the coming days. Simultaneously with the inauguration of the new president of the market, it gave the green light and satisfaction to this event. There are risks in the development of the stock market that are mostly related to political issues. It remains to be seen what trend traders will follow in the coming days.
Iran's transit volume is positive despite the prospects of sanctions in recent years. It seems that Iran has come to the conclusion that it must spend on the growth and development of its port and customs infrastructure. This has happened in developed countries as well, and Iran needs to act a little faster in this regard.