Although in the past few days, after crossing the $ 2,000 mark, there were many doubts about the continuation of the upward trend of the ounce price, gold experienced its ninth consecutive rising week last week, regardless of these doubts.
This happened while in Friday’s trading, the price of an ounce fell by a significant 1.39 percent due to price correction and the reduction of the US unemployment rate; However, this decline due to the third consecutive month of declining unemployment in the United States and reaching 10.2 percent did not prevent the positive weekly return of gold.
Over the past week, the price of an ounce of gold has risen significantly by 3 percent, with the value of this safe haven rising for a moment on Friday to $ 2089, a record high for gold. While the value of gold could easily gain a foothold in the current global economic climate above $ 2,000, analysts believe that gold could easily cross the $ 2,100 mark.
The argument of market experts is based on the fact that the macroeconomic players of the ounce price increase are still present in the markets without any change. One of the most important milestones is the continuation of the economic support package talks in Washington. The message of the new support package for the markets will be to print more money, further weaken the dollar and raise the price of gold again.
*** Natural ounce devaluation over the weekend
Although gold finally faced a significant negative 1.4 percent price correction on Friday, broad financial and monetary programs by the world’s central banks pushed demand into the yellow metal, causing it to continue to After the unprecedented record-breaking of this precious metal, the general phase of the gold market will be bullish in the near future.
According to analysts, the return of the price of gold on Friday is a natural move, and this safe haven of assets will need time to correct the price after its continuous ascent, and this can not be considered a sign of reversing the price trend of the ounce. In the current climate of economics, where all central banks are printing money to help their coronary economies, gold is one of the best options as a safeguard for investors’ assets. However, experts say that the correction of the price and the decline in the value of gold in the coming days is normal.
*** Is the $ 3,000 limit available?
Daniel Pavillonis, market analyst at RJO Futures, estimates that the price of an ounce of yellow metal could reach the $ 3,000 mark by the end of the year. “One of the reasons that the price of precious metals will continue to rise is more money printing,” he said. This will cause the real rate of return to enter the negative range in the first place. So investors now have a long-term view of precious metals.
When interest rates fall into the negative range, investors’ assets in banks will actually cost them money, which will ultimately lead them to look for an alternative safe haven for their investments. This keeps the demand for gold strong.
*** Reducing the US unemployment rate
The US unemployment rate fell for the third month in a row despite new restrictions. While the US unemployment rate peaked at 14.7 percent in April, the US unemployment rate fell to 10.2 percent in July, well above the projected 10.5 percent. This meant that another 1.8 million people had returned to the labor market in the world’s largest economy. Interpreting this level of unemployment means that one in 10 Americans looking for a job has failed to find one.
*** The influx of investment into gold
The secretary of the board of directors of the Tehran Jewelry Union said: the price of each ounce of the world has exceeded two thousand dollars, which has been unprecedented in the last few years. Investment in gold has increased worldwide due to the weakening dollar in the US trading market, the spread of the Corona virus and global events such as the Beirut bombing. Global ounces were projected to reach $ 2,000 by the end of the year; But these factors caused this to happen sooner and in the last week.
Nader Bazrafshan commented on the situation in the domestic coin and gold market over the past week, stating that the global ounce price has risen by an average of about $ 82 over the past week. Recently, when it crossed the $ 2,000 mark, the domestic coin and gold market was not affected by the increase and proceeded slowly. Demand for coins has also been declining over the past week.
*** Unprecedented increase in global prices
He added: “This unprecedented increase in global ounce prices caused some increase in global markets and consequently domestic markets, but in Iran, currency control and relative stability at home caused that the domestic market had little effect on the increase in global ounce prices.” And be calm; Prices rose slightly, but were expected to rise much higher than the $ 82 ounce global price, but fortunately did not have much of an impact on our domestic market.
The secretary of the board of the Tehran Jewelry Union said: “In addition, over the past few days, in addition to the fact that for some time (almost since the end of last year) the demand for gold products has reached zero, we have seen a decrease in demand for coins.” Until a week ago the demand to buy coin There has been, but for about a week, the demand for coins has also decreased by about 80%, which has not been ineffective in not being affected by the increase in coins. Reduced demand and stable currency prices will ensure that the market is not inflamed.
Bazrafshan predicted that the market will probably not increase next week, and it is possible that if the price of the currency continues to be controlled and demand remains so low, prices will fall and the market will stabilize.
*** The price of gold and coins
Regarding the latest transaction prices for coins and gold in the domestic market, he reminded: each coin of the whole new design is 11 million and 500 thousand Tomans, all coins of the old design are 10 million and 800 thousand Tomans, half coins are 5 million and 650 thousand Tomans. , Quarter coins are worth 3 million and 250 thousand Tomans and one gram coins are priced at one million and 760 thousand Tomans. This is while after the coin bubble went up to one million to one million and 200 thousand tomans for each piece during the last two weeks; At present, it has decreased and reached about 700 thousand tomans.
The secretary of the board of directors of Tehran Jewelry Union added: Also, each gram of 18-carat gold is 1,112,300 Tomans, each ounce of 18-carat gold is 5,125,000 Tomans, and each ounce of 17-carat gold is 4,890,000 Tomans. They have a price. The latest rate for the global ounce is $ 2060.
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