The Tehran Stock Exchange faced a sharp drop in the overall index after a three-day shutdown and reopened on Sunday with a 3% drop. This dashed hopes for a steady rise in the index, prompting analysts to consider stock market and capitalist strategies. In this analysis, be with Artan Press to become more familiar with the current market conditions and be able to have the best performance in the current market.
*** Trading strategy
The behavior of the Tehran Stock Exchange shows that the major actors of the stock market follow three unwritten strategies. Some focus on fundamental stock analysis, target long-term stock value, and plan for long-term profits. Sometimes the fundamental analysis of stocks is published through the communication channels of this category and sometimes it is debatable because the criteria for the value of stocks are not very reliable.
The second group are people who have a technical view of the market and by looking at charts such as Fibo, triangle, rsi, etc., seek to fluctuate even on negative market days. The look of this category is very short-lived, so that sometimes some days they enter the market with money and at the end of the day they leave the market with money.
But the third category, unfortunately, are people who enter the stock market without any strategy, vision or analysis and buy in the green days of the market, and in the negative days, they are in the sales queue and practically melt their capital.
For thirty-seven days, the total stock market index has fluctuated between one million five hundred thousand to one million and seven hundred thousand, and this lack of orientation has caused people active in the stock market to observe different conditions and create different perspectives. Considering the growth of the dollar price in a situation where the stock market was very red, this market is considered very attractive and they believe that the market is lagging behind other parallel markets and we should expect a significant growth in the stock market prices of different stocks.
*** The first victim of Iran’s economy
But some say the Tehran Stock Exchange is the first victim of Iran’s economic system, and that stock market lawmakers have sold their weak shares and plunged the market into a severe recession. These people believe that the stock market has no place for progress because the people’s trust in this market has been lost and there can be no hopeful days for the market. Others still dream of making a profit in the shortest possible time, so they buy and sell, and the last group, however, remains undecided and does not have a specific investment strategy, and therefore accepts the most damage from the current market trend.
The first signals of demand growth have started this week. This signal is nothing but the last opportunity for companies to submit mid-term reports that can potentially lead to a positive market trend. But some do not see this as a positive momentum for the market because they believe that liquidity The society has reached its minimum and the market will not react positively to this issue, because in the current situation, the purchasing power has reached the minimum possible level, and on the other hand, the uncertainty of the logical market path has doubled the market entry risk for shareholders.
*** Entry of Tehran Stock Exchange market into bear phase
The bear phase in the term of stock exchange literature is defined as a situation in which the market, after recording very high records, has a downward trend for a long period of time and destroys part of the shareholders’ profits and disrupts the conditions for activity and buying and selling. Currently, the Iranian stock market has entered the bear phase and this trend has continued for thirty-seven days and there are doubts about the continuation of this trend. Today’s market of Tehran Stock Exchange is exactly similar to the conditions of this market in 97.
The bear phase of the stock market continued for three months this year, and its recession was practically observable until mid-1998. Continuation of this issue can cause irreparable damage to the Iranian stock market. Therefore, policymakers in the Iranian stock market should look for ways to strengthen demand in the stock market and change the negative market atmosphere and strengthen hope in equity.
*** Fundamental equity strategy
It is safe to say that in the current market conditions, the best equity approach is fundamental and long-term equity. Because the fluctuations of price fluctuations do not have much effect on the value of a company’s stock, and the prospect of profits will not be affected by emotional behaviors and sometimes political biases. For example, petrochemical stocks are now highly valued, but not for the short-sighted. But Gulf Star projects and Tondgovian petrochemical financial reports for those with a one-year look at capital market productivity. Very attractive and valuable.
*** Short-term technical strategy
The dominant strategy on the Tehran Stock Exchange is to use technical analysis tools and obtain results in the short term. People who are a subset of this strategy in the stock market often seek to monitor the financial statements and review the stock price fluctuations and daily fluctuations.
*** Profit strategy in the shortest time
There are shareholders who want to make a profit in the shortest possible time. Although this group does not pay much attention to financial statements and fundamental analysis, they are not devoid of strategy. These groups benefit from daily and weekly fluctuations by examining a share price chart and having technical tools. At the same time, monitoring smart money and market flow is one of the most important concerns of the second group.
This group of traders is highly risk-averse and perhaps based on a combination of risk and return, it is possible to make a profit even in this negative environment for this
The group of shareholders is not unlikely either. In these strategies, banking and car companies are very attractive and the main focus of technical shareholders is on these two groups.
*** Emotional behavior based on the logic of the stock game
The last category of stock market actors are people who have neither high risk nor acceptable analytical power. These people decide to buy stocks based on the psychological and emotional atmosphere of the market, which unfortunately suffers the most from the stock market shocks.
*** Assessing the power of buyers and sellers in Tehran Stock Exchange
One of the most important market analysis techniques in the current situation will be to examine the power of buyers and sellers to determine the strategy of the stock market trend. Therefore, the study of this index will not be without merit.
On the stock exchange trading site, the possibility of observing the number of shareholders who buy or sell stocks is completely traceable and observable. Market facts usually all pursue a specific goal and a certain perspective, and therefore their behavior can be easily But the behavior of legal entities and their money circulation certainly shapes the market trend and reveals a revelation of the stock market infrastructure.
In market shares, he examined the buying and selling rate of stocks. The higher the ratio of buying stocks by the buyer to the selling rate of shareholders, the higher the purchasing power of a share and the higher its attractiveness for entry. Usually, when the stock is technically at its support level and the buyer has more power than the seller, an uptrend can be predicted for the stock, and sometimes even this uptrend is accompanied by a buy queue.
*** Evaluation of petrochemical conditions in Tehran Stock Exchange
Petrochemical companies have started the trend of price growth by increasing the price of their trading legs in the commodity exchange and consequently increasing the attractiveness of this group’s shares in the stock exchange, which will most likely make this group more attractive in the coming days. On the other hand, as the reopening of Dara II shares, called refinement, approaches, this trend will most likely lead to the buyer’s power quickly. On the other hand, global price changes and the growth of global base prices will also contribute to the growth and profitability of the group’s shares.
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