The issue of sanctions against Iran is one of the main political news trends in the world that the lifting or not of sanctions will have a wide repercussion in the economic and political level of the world. Recently, various domestic and foreign news outlets have reported on the complete lifting of sanctions on Iran, some of which originated from the Iranian president’s speech. This approach has been met with reactions from economists and analysts, who have warned that markets should not be subjected to unprincipled shocks in the face of uncertainty. In the following, we will evaluate the latest news regarding the lifting of sanctions on Iran and the return of the United States to the nuclear deal. Please be with Artan Press.
*** Platts analysis of the lifting of sanctions on Iran
Perhaps we have evaluated the most logical analysis of the Iranian nuclear deal from Platz. The Platts Analysis Unit predicts that all sanctions on Iran will be eased by the end of September 2021. Platts analysts have described the process of lifting sanctions on Iran as time-consuming. With this prediction, there will be practically no agreement in the Rouhani government. While Iranian officials expect oil exports to reach 2.5 million barrels per day after the lifting of US sanctions, the main question is when these sanctions will be completely lifted or reduced. This view has provoked reactions in the community to Rouhani’s remarks about the lifting of sanctions.
*** The distance between the expectations of the parties; The main factor is the prolongation of the agreement process
The expectations and demands of the parties so far have led to a protracted process of the nuclear deal and the lifting of sanctions on Iran. According to a State Department spokesman, all sanctions imposed during the Trump era and their labels changed should be lifted in a timely and verifiable manner. According to a State Department spokesman, there are serious disagreements over sanctions and pre-determined US lists of individuals, and talks should continue in the same direction. Progress has been significant, but in some areas we have made slow progress. This position shows that there is still controversy over the lifting of sanctions. So it cannot be claimed that some of the sanctions have been lifted and the rest are about to be lifted.
*** The State Department is optimistic about the progress of the agreement
But a State Department spokesman said the talks were moving in the right direction. According to him, the lifting of banking and oil sanctions is one of the definite axioms, and what is being discussed is about some controversial issues. We have reached a point where we can say that we have reached one or two texts. We are now focusing on how the United States will return to all of its commitments. There will be many issues if the United States returns to the UN Security Council, and the damage is definitely one of them.
*** The lifting of sanctions requires sufficient time for both parties
The reason why we say that it is not possible to celebrate the lifting of sanctions definitively and declare it a national victory is that the behavioral process of the parties in the negotiations has not yet been determined definitively. Security adviser Jake Sullivan announced Saturday night after the chairman of the Vienna negotiating team, Seyed Abbas Araghchi, announced an agreement to suspend thematic sanctions, such as sanctions on Iran’s energy sector, including oil and gas, or sanctions on the automotive industry, financial, banking and port sanctions. “We have not yet reached an agreement with Iran in Vienna and there is a long way to go to overcome the obstacles,” he said.
*** US National Security Adviser responds to lifting sanctions
“We have not yet reached an agreement in Vienna, where negotiations between the world powers and Iran are currently taking place,” said Jake Sullivan. There is still a long way to go to close the existing gaps, and these gaps are in the context of sanctions that the United States and other countries will lift. “Our diplomats will continue to work in the coming weeks to reach a reciprocal agreement,” he said in part. The Deputy Foreign Minister also announced his agreement to remove the names of the majority of individuals, entities and institutions from the sanctions list and stressed that there are others who are still on the list for various reasons and that we are still negotiating for this part of the work. So it is practically impossible to claim that the lifting of sanctions has been decided yet.
In recent days, we have heard a lot of news about the lifting of banking, oil and economic sanctions on Iran by the United States and the return of this country to the nuclear deal. So much so that the president also reacted to this issue and announced in a meeting that the sanctions had been lifted. However, no definite news of the lifting of sanctions has been reported yet. Such news can disturb the peace of financial markets. So that yesterday we saw a 400 Toman increase in the price of the dollar against the floor in some trading hours. It seems that in this situation, contradictory news should not be encouraged.
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