Economic News | صفحه ۱۶ از ۱۶ | آرتان پرس
Economic evaluation of dollar exchange rate
It seems that the fundamental floor of the dollar rate is 26,900 tomans. In other words, in the short term, no matter how much the dollar rate decreases, when it approaches this number, it will face a very heavy resistance. The fundamental floor of the dollar rate is accompanied by margins. Some believe the dollar will rise. Some consider the dollar to be twice its intrinsic value.
Possibility of reducing non-oil exports to $ 30 billion
Considering that the export prices of materials such as iron ore, concentrate and copper decreased by about 40% during the first quarter of this year and the prices of raw materials and minerals also decreased, it seems that our non-oil exports To be reduced to more than $ 30 billion by the end of the year.On the other hand, 80% of non-oil exports are done by state-owned companies that are state-owned and private and are connected to various foundations. Therefore, the private sector is responsible for only 20% of non-oil exports, and if this sector has not returned even 20% of the foreign exchange earned from exports, which is certainly not the case, about 8 to 10 billion dollars of foreign exchange has been returned to the country by the private sector. The return of this amount of currency can not be so effective in reducing non-oil exports.
World trade statistics in 2019
the volume of world trade in goods decreased by 0.1 percent this year, while the previous year, 2018, had decreased by 2.9 percent. According to the organization's definitions, trade in goods is measured by the average of imports and exports. On the basis of value, last year the trade flow experienced a significant decline of 3% and reached a level above 19 trillion (trillion) dollars, while in 2018 it experienced a growth of 10.2%.
