The steel market bubble in recent months has been linked to changes in the dollar, something that analysts have not overlooked. The maximum allowable base rate for ingots is 14,580. With a simple calculation, it can be concluded that the steel market bubble fluctuates around 8% negatively.
The Association of Steel Producers has reported on the performance of Iranian steel production in the first two months of the year. In this estimate, we have witnessed a 16% growth in production compared to the same period last year. It seems that the growth of world prices has brought this growth potential for Iranian steel.
Similar to Monday in the middle of the week, we saw a stabilized trend of rising steel prices in the domestic market. Continuation of this trend can justify the import of steel for the first time in Iran. The election climate and the rise of the dollar, along with rising global prices, have given rise to this volatile climate.
Product of two companies, Kavir Steel and Khorasan Steel, which have the same quality. In one, only 2% of the sales volume took place in the commodity exchange, and in the other, it was 83% more. This has created scandals over the sale of one of the factories outside the stock market.
Analysis of the domestic steel market shows that domestic prices have risen without a customer. The rate of ingots in Iran has exceeded the world rate for several days. Continuation of this trend will face major challenges in investing in the steel sector.
In recent months, the sale of Iranian steel crude has become a national flax problem. Due to the prevailing psychological atmosphere in the market and the growth of global steel prices, crude sellers have been given the opportunity to offer the country's steel products below prices. Continuation of these conditions can destroy construction in the country. On the other hand, the conditions of crude steel production in Iran have become alarming.
The cost price of iron production is up to 30% lower than the price that reaches the consumer. People who stand between factories and distributors push up prices in the market. The rise in the price of steel and iron has occurred in recent days in a situation where the market is empty of customers.
Liberalization of steel exports, along with the many opportunities it has, can make conditions difficult for the domestic market. Export laws must be in line with the domestic market in order to see financial efficiency in the steel export sector.
The smooth and economical way for the production chain is to supply all the products in the commodity exchange, which in addition to making the exchanges transparent and the entry of all steels into the exchange, also prevents cannibalism in the next circles and downstream industries.
Iran's steel market is in a state of disarray due to rising domestic steel prices under the pretext of rising prices in the iron ore and flat steel sectors. Continuation of this path will increase prices in the shadow of the recession. But the falling dollar has prevented a complete reversal of the market. It remains to be seen how long prices will remain on the ceiling.
In recent days, the steel market has been the main topic of candidates' promises. Since the heavy knot of Iran's economy is in the housing sector, this area plays an important role in relieving macroeconomic challenges. Iran Steel is in a situation that needs action. Crisis management planning has been repeated many times.